For predicting one particular day's weather from a previous year's long weather data, a SARIMA model is generally better than an ARIMA model. This is because SARIMA models can account for seasonality in the data, while ARIMA models cannot. Seasonality is a regular pattern in the data that repeats over a fixed period of time. For example, temperature data exhibits seasonality, with higher temperatures in the summer and lower temperatures in the winter. SARIMA models can account for seasonality by including additional parameters that model the seasonal component of the data. This allows SARIMA models to make more accurate predictions for seasonal data, such as weather data. ARIMA models, on the other hand, cannot account for seasonality. This means that they may not be as accurate for predicting seasonal data as SARIMA models. However, it is important to note that both SARIMA and ARIMA models are statistical models, and they are both subject to error. The accuracy of any for...
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